When you look at resources on fertility you see predominantly Muslim countries like
Mali, Somalia and Afghanistan
at the top of the lists where Western, "Christian" countries like Germany, Greece,
Italy and are at
the bottom. Even in African countries that are ostensibly Christian, there is a
sizable Muslim population and pressure from immigrants. Compare the U.S. with
an average of 12.49 births per thousand people (ranking in the bottom 30% at 158
out of 224) to Indonesia, with the largest Muslim population in the world with
something like 220,000,000 Muslim and a birth rate of 4 more children that the
U.S. per thousand. Portugal Iran is
at 17.99 and
has a massive rate of 31.45. So for every child born in the Iraq U.S. there are around 2.5 born in . Other
predominantly Muslim nations with unstable governments like Iraq Egypt (22.90), Syria
(22.17) and Libya (18.03)
far outpace .
OK, that is a lot of demographic data but so what? There are two colliding factors at work here. One is simple numbers. People in developing countries, many of which are predominantly Muslim or at least have a prominent Muslim population, are simply having way more children than Western, non-majority Muslim countries. Many "first world" nations are far below the replacement rate, meaning that their population is shrinking by the year. The other major problem is that many of these first world nations don't have workers to replace those who retire and they desperately need workers for jobs that entitled dependents of the state won't do, not to mention needing tax revenue to fund the social promises like pensions and health care that continue to balloon in cost while revenue shrinks. Between existing national debt and unfunded mandates, most Western nations are facing a perfect storm of financial insolvency and demographic collapse. The people who are left are not going to be white, "Christian" Americans and Europeans.
One might point to stats that describe the Christian population similarly booming around the third world. Yet in the West the Christian population is not growing much at all, and in fact if you use the deeply flawed metric of church attendance the Christian population is shrinking, and at the same time the legions of retiring workers in the West are being replaced by immigrants, legal and more so illegal. The simple truth is that Muslims are out breeding Western nations by a huge margin as well as apparently being highly effective at proselytizing and eventually that increased population is going to be the dominant force in the world. The West, even in "Christian" countries has been engaged in demographic suicide for decades and there is no sign of that abating. In the 40 some odd years since Roe v. Wade we have killed off tens of millions of Americans who would now be back-filling jobs for the baby boomers. Instead those jobs sit vacant, are shipped overseas or filled by illegal aliens. There are already 1.6 billion Muslims in the world and the number grows via conversion and birth at an incredible pace. What will the world look like when the
is no longer the dominant force and
power resides in the hands of the masses of the world, many of whom are poor
and Muslim? United
Meanwhile the West is focused on trying to combat ISIS and company using World War II/ Cold War style warfare. The talk of "containing"
ISIS and claiming
victories based on seizing territory exposes a continuance of the World War II
mentality where holding territory is tantamount to winning the war even though
the West is fighting a diffuse enemy. Why in the world would ISIS or the
Taliban or Al Qaeda want to slug it out with the military of a nation that
essentially outspends the rest of the world on its military? No one thinks that
at this point that would result in anything but a one sided slaughter and so they refuse to line up like targets and get slaughtered. One the
other hand when the extremist groups lose territory their soldiers just drop
their weapons and blend in with the rest of the population. One would have
thought we would have learned this lesson in Vietnam
but apparently not and now the enemy is not restricted to Southeast
Asia but is everywhere including within the borders of Western
It seems to me that the forces of jihad are playing the long game while we in America are reflexively swinging our fists in a blind rage like a drunk in a barroom brawl, indiscriminately swinging our fists and not caring much where the blow lands. We play whack-a-mole on group and another five spring up. Our leaders thump their chests about killing "Jihadi John" and they respond by the worst act of mass violence in
since World War II. What is incredible
to me about the attacks in Paris
is not that they were so "successful" but that they don't happen more
often. We certainly spent millions of dollars and countless hours of
intelligence to blow up one jihadi. Give me 8-10 fanatics and some guns and I
can give you a death toll that exceeds Paris
without driving more than a few hours. At the same time we see "civilization jihad" being waged with no one paying much attention. Paris
For Christians the collapse of the West and the rise of Islam means persecution unlike any we have seen since the days of the Reformation and Inquisitions. We aren't going to "win" the war against nascent Islam by airstrikes that might hit the occasional hospital, oops! Nor are we going to guard against
ISIS by "vetting"
refugees. The truth is that the cultural struggle is already over and we lost, the only
question left is how does that aftermath look and how we prepare. The world of
social media is already infested with "conservatives" trying to shut
the borders and "progressives" who are trying to turn a lack of hotel
rooms into a refugee crisis for Joseph and Mary. Neither approach is serious and neither does anything to prepare the church for a very different future. The problem with our existence of comfort and prosperity in the West is that we are more concerned with preserving our goodies than we are about carrying out the actual mission of the church, a mission which cannot be boiled down to "go to church on Sunday".
I have been sounding this warning for years and if anything we are even less prepared than before, terrified as we are about terrorists and the potential loss of unfettered religious liberty. When are we going to wake up and start taking our marching orders from Scripture and the example of the church under persecution throughout history rather than from social media and 24 hour news channels?